CMC Markets专栏: 消息面打压纽币短期回撤

Author
CMC Markets, Tina Teng

Article
主要受猪肉与蔬菜价格回落影响,中国刚刚公布的9月份居民消费价格指数录得1.6%, 差于预期1.8%。中国经济增长放缓仍然持续。今日的新西兰央行行长Wheeler的讲话中表示由于全球经济形势影响,新西兰央行仍有可能实行进一步的货币宽松, 纽币顺势下滑后反弹整理。技术形态上看, 纽币对美元在关键阻力位置出现回撤迹象,潜在回撤位置可能在0.6460-0.6500的区间。当长期图表上看仍然有望筑底成功, 在回撤后继续向上反弹, 潜在目标可能在0.6920附近。这与基本面也并无绝对的对立关系, 原因在过去的文章中已经提过。

技术图形:
 
周线图/日线图

短期图形日线图上可以看到纽币对美元在保利加通道上轨附近受阻呈压, 此位置也恰好与过去的强阻力位置0.6730附近吻合。连续的多日涨势使得指标信号也进入超买区域, 无论是此处获利回吐还是空头进场都可能使得纽币在此回撤,下方潜在的潜在回撤空间可能在保利加通道中轨附近0.6460。而长期走势图周线图上能够反映出潜在筑底形态仍在进行中,有可能出现周线图底部头肩底的筑底形态。在此如果假设右肩正在形成过程中,则近日运行的区间将可能在0.6460-0.6730的空间. 如果能够突破此区间则上方进一步的多头目标将有可能在0.6920附近。另外, 技术指标MACD与STOCH均在超卖区域有向上插入形态, 也是支持潜在底部形态的另一依据。
 
Contact Information AU
如有更多问题，欢迎致电：
澳大利亚免费中文电话：1300 668 268
开设免费模拟账户，无风险演练交易
 
Disclaimer
Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.com.au or you can call us on 1300 303 888.

Author photo

Author profile
Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。